Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.018417 0.019736 0.021105 0.022635 0.024297 0.026051 0.028043
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016038 0.017922 0.019978 0.022393 0.025161 0.028243 0.031949
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014358 0.016551 0.019033 0.022063 0.025680 0.029881 0.035162
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013294 0.015716 0.018540 0.022099 0.026493 0.031782 0.038688
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012288 0.014832 0.017874 0.021811 0.026813 0.033020 0.041396
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011386 0.013992 0.017176 0.021391 0.026884 0.033884 0.043613
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.010713 0.013381 0.016703 0.021196 0.027190 0.035020 0.046207
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010119 0.012826 0.016258 0.020988 0.027434 0.036052 0.048684
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009500 0.012198 0.015673 0.020546 0.027315 0.036555 0.050418
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009186 0.011952 0.015572 0.020739 0.028058 0.038267 0.053966
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.008821 0.011616 0.015326 0.020708 0.028472 0.039518 0.056893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008567 0.011414 0.015249 0.020901 0.029201 0.041249 0.060639
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008176 0.011009 0.014874 0.020651 0.029277 0.042026 0.062981
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007865 0.010700 0.014618 0.020559 0.029575 0.043147 0.065933
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007521 0.010329 0.014256 0.020289 0.029582 0.043808 0.068170
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007294 0.010116 0.014109 0.020327 0.030056 0.045216 0.071722
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006997 0.009788 0.013778 0.020067 0.030046 0.045840 0.073977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006686 0.009426 0.013382 0.019687 0.029818 0.046092 0.075589
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006450 0.009166 0.013127 0.019511 0.029906 0.046858 0.078148
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006224 0.008913 0.012872 0.019322 0.029959 0.047561 0.080628
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005958 0.008589 0.012496 0.018921 0.029638 0.047604 0.081889
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005849 0.008501 0.012478 0.019096 0.030286 0.049346 0.086433
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005697 0.008340 0.012341 0.019068 0.030585 0.050489 0.089908